Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.069073 0.080247 0.092474 0.106822 0.123171 0.141197 0.162548
2025-02-02 0.053851 0.069035 0.087146 0.110236 0.138778 0.172782 0.216229
2025-02-09 0.040328 0.056533 0.077420 0.106082 0.144120 0.192563 0.258571
2025-02-16 0.031871 0.048425 0.071292 0.104771 0.152034 0.215773 0.307500
2025-02-23 0.025226 0.041300 0.064966 0.101719 0.156564 0.234394 0.351916
2025-03-02 0.020447 0.035878 0.059966 0.099439 0.161363 0.253319 0.398202
2025-03-09 0.017450 0.032610 0.057565 0.100468 0.170824 0.279550 0.457326
2025-03-16 0.014342 0.028523 0.053111 0.097401 0.173198 0.294882 0.500967
2025-03-23 0.013035 0.027357 0.053324 0.102000 0.188364 0.331523 0.581201
2025-03-30 0.011396 0.025248 0.051508 0.102715 0.196855 0.357863 0.646805
2025-04-06 0.009657 0.022600 0.048263 0.100316 0.199441 0.374279 0.696936
2025-04-13 0.008290 0.020453 0.045629 0.098640 0.203001 0.392468 0.751363
2025-04-20 0.007750 0.020041 0.046469 0.103981 0.220537 0.437526 0.857935
2025-04-27 0.007200 0.019506 0.046979 0.108724 0.237451 0.482997 0.969206
2025-05-04 0.006089 0.017410 0.043796 0.105325 0.237785 0.497487 1.024458
2025-05-11 0.005315 0.015988 0.041885 0.104379 0.242956 0.521582 1.099727
2025-05-18 0.004538 0.014385 0.039288 0.101514 0.243702 0.536939 1.159200
2025-05-25 0.003914 0.013056 0.037126 0.099328 0.245603 0.554655 1.224586
2025-06-01 0.003534 0.012344 0.036387 0.100402 0.254815 0.588077 1.324084
2025-06-08 0.003024 0.011117 0.034104 0.097359 0.254250 0.600819 1.381898
2025-06-15 0.002879 0.011009 0.034812 0.101969 0.272072 0.654437 1.529366
2025-06-22 0.002604 0.010411 0.034064 0.102690 0.280632 0.688443 1.637407
2025-06-29 0.002261 0.009494 0.032244 0.100294 0.281281 0.704835 1.708411